DIRE
STRAITS
Malaysia:
Ready, aim, shoot in foot
By Anil Netto
PENANG - Malaysia's
opposition alliance will have to get its act together if it does
not want public support for it to dissolve in a sea of acrimony.
A highly publicized dispute between two key opposition parties
over whether Malaysia should be turned into an Islamic state is
threatening to undermine the alliance and has provided fodder
for the leaders of the ruling Barisan Nasional (National Front)
coalition to denigrate the opposition.
The opposition's ideological
rift - the Pan-Malaysian Islamic Party (PAS) aims to set up an
Islamic state while the multi-ethnic and Chinese-based Democratic
Action Party (DAP) insists Malaysia should remain a secular state
- is not something new. It is a decades-long gulf that once blocked
closer cooperation between the two of Malaysia's largest opposition
parties.
But in 1998, everything
changed when former deputy premier Anwar Ibrahim was ousted from
government and jailed. His sacking triggered widespread outrage
and unleashed reformasi, a movement pushing for wide-ranging reforms.
For the first time, PAS and DAP supporters were united in a larger
common cause: challenging the ruling coalition's dominance, wiping
out injustice and stemming perceived rot in the system.
A new party, the National
Justice Party (Keadilan) headed by Anwar's wife, Wan Azizah, tapped
into the discontent. Sentiment among the grass roots favored a
united opposition front, prompting opposition leaders to quickly
cobble together a new opposition alliance, the Barisan Alternatif
(Alternative Front), ahead of the 1999 general election. The alliance
grouped the three opposition parties, along with the tiny Malaysian
People's Party (PRM), and was backed by an Alternative Manifesto,
which made no mention of an Islamic state.
Instead the manifesto
pledges to "create a favorable atmosphere - through the provision
of infrastructure, education and legislation - towards affirmation
of Islam as a way of life among Muslims, while ensuring the rights
of non-Muslims to practice their respective religions or beliefs".
It was also pointed out that PAS' own party constitution does
not mention an Islamic state.
But although the manifesto
was accepted by all the main opposition parties, it still left
the alliance vulnerable to the ruling coalition's scare tactics
and to the differing interpretations of the DAP and PAS. Playing
on lingering ethnic Chinese fears of an Islamic state, the mainstream
media highlighted the ideological rift within the front in the
run-up to the 1999 general election and implied that the cultural
and religious rights of the minorities were under threat.
The fear campaign
worked. Although the Barisan Nasional suffered a loss in support
among ethnic Malay-Muslims outraged by Anwar's ouster, it coasted
home to victory on the back of non-Muslim support.
Once again, the media
have highlighted the DAP's objection to PAS' recent statements
in support of an Islamic state. The media attention has also diverted
the public gaze away from embarrassing issues confronting the
Barisan Nasional. These include the takeover of two relatively
independent Chinese-language dailies by the coalition's second
largest party, the Malaysian Chinese Association - a move that
has sparked uproar among the ethnic Chinese, who make up 25 percent
of the population.
Another issue that
has been swept aside is the abrupt resignation of the powerful
finance minister Daim Zainuddin, a key ally of Prime Minister
Mahathir Mohamad. Daim's departure has left Mahathir looking increasingly
isolated as the premier completes 20 years at the helm with no
sign of calling it quits. At the same time, his United Malays
National Organization is struggling to redeem itself among its
grass roots supporters.
The Islamic state
brouhaha in the media has also overshadowed a string of court
decisions that have cast doubt on the independence and integrity
of key government institutions. Thus, the opposition's seeming
inability to settle its ideological rifts privately among its
leaders has played straight into the hands of the ruling coalition.
In a sense, the ideological
dispute appears academic. The numbers just don't add up. Turning
Malaysia into an Islamic state would require a two-thirds parliamentary
majority - something that PAS would be unlikely to muster.
In the 1999 general
election, the opposition alliance allocated only a third of the
193 parliamentary seats for PAS to contest in one-to-one battles
against the ruling coalition. The remainder were allotted to other
opposition parties. The PAS, however, won just 27 out of the 64
seats allotted to it. Even in those 27 seats, analysts pointed
out that it was outrage against the ruling coalition and the Anwar
factor rather than sentiment in favor of an Islamic state that
helped PAS to win.
Another obstacle in
the way of an Islamic state is the weak influence the PAS commands
in the north Borneo states of Sabah and Sarawak, which together
make up 48 seats in parliament. Of the 193 parliamentary seats,
only about 100 of them are ethnic-Malay majority seats, which
are likely to be hotly contested.
PAS' best hope lies
in capturing a few more states in the Malay-Muslim heartland to
add to the east coast states of Kelantan and Terengganu that the
party already controls. In these two states, PAS has imposed Islamic
rules: a ban on gambling, curbs on alcohol sales, and separate
check-out counters at supermarkets for men and women. But it has
also taken steps to liberalize official attitudes towards non-Malay
cultural and religious observances in a bid to reach out to more
non-Muslims.
Thus far, PAS leaders
have not made it clear what they mean by an Islamic state and
much of the rift has centered on semantics - Islamic state vs
secular state. In reality, Malaysia is hardly a completely secular
state with the constitution already regarding Islam as the country's
official religion. The country already has an Islamic banking
system and religious courts - coexisting side-by-side with the
conventional system - as well as an International Islamic University.
The only way out of
the opposition's ideological impasse is for the parties to recognize
the reality in Malaysia and to engage each other in a series of
high-level talks to trash out a consensus once and for all. It
has already moved in this direction and called a halt to public
exchanges on the Islamic state issue. If it fails in this endeavor,
the alliance could disintegrate.
In a sense, the Barisan
Alternatif should consider itself fortunate that the dispute has
surfaced now - when the alliance still has time to consider strategies
and to build a consensus - rather than on the eve of a general
election, when it would be even more vulnerable to ruling coalition
attacks.
|